DiXi Group - Weekly analytical report October 12

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Weekly analytical report October 12 – 18, 2020

21 October 2020

In this issue: Key stakeholders are joining efforts to develop a liquid short-term gas market in Ukraine… The regulator is getting closer to gradually setting RAB electricity distribution tariffs despite…

Weekly analytical report October 4 – 9, 2020

15 October 2020

In this issue: The combination of market and regulatory factors in the electricity market may cause a price ‘resonance’… The signs of pressure on the energy regulator as regards sensitive…

Weekly analytical report September 28 – October 4, 2020

7 October 2020

In this issue: Despite simpler procedure of switching to another supplier, development of the retail gas market for households is characterized by “developmental disorders”… The start of heating season may…

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Weekly analytical report September 21-27, 2020

1 October 2020

In this issue: The presidential decree concerning development of nuclear energy contains controversial initiatives of changing the subordination of Energoatom and finishing construction of Khmelnytskyi NPP units… The gas market…

Weekly analytical report September 14-20, 2020

23 September 2020

In this issue: The parliament has preliminarily approved a law enabling Gas TSO of Ukraine (GTSOU) to purchase gas for balancing needs at a commodity exchange, which would facilitate development…

Weekly analytical report September 7-13, 2020

16 September 2020

In this issue: New instruments, including Gasoteka price comparison tool created by DiXi Group, shall help households find out the offers of suppliers in the retail gas market… In light…

Weekly analytical report August 31- September 6, 2020

10 September 2020

In this issue: Liberalization of some PSO-related market restrictions helped intensify competition in the bilateral contracts and the day-ahead markets, and can contribute to the sector’s financial rehabilitation… The situation…

Weekly analytical report August 10-30, 2020

2 September 2020

In this issue: No significant activity in the emergence of new commercial offers can be observed in the retail gas market after lifting the PSO regime for households… While Nord…

Weekly analytical report August 3-9, 2020

11 August 2020

In this issue: New legal and logistical obstacles for realization of Nord Stream 2 project Liberalization of the retail gas market for households has been formally completed What should the…

Weekly analytical report 20 – 26 July, 2020

28 July 2020

In this issue: The government makes another attempt to launch the process of coal sector restructuring, but it is important to make sure that the choice of pilot projects is…

Comments

Daryna Kulaha

Junior analyst DiXi Group

The government’s intentions to postpone EU environmental requirements are unlikely to receive the foreign partners’ support

The Ministry of Energy has recently resumed work on the implementation of the National Emissions Reduction Plan for Large Combustion Plants (the NERP), but soon proposed to postpone its implementation.

Olha Polunina

Sustainable Development Manager

Approved reporting forms are a step towards greater transparency in production

The government has finally approved reporting forms for extractive companies developed, inter alia, with the participation of DiXi Group experts.

Daryna Kulaha

Junior analyst DiXi Group

No effective solutions on debts to “green” generation have been proposed yet

The government has actually held the Regulator and the transmission system operator fully responsible for resolving the situation

Olena Pavlenko

DiXi Group President

Halting Nord Stream 2 must become a part of the EU’s “single voice”

The tragic poisoning of Russian opposition activist Alexei Navalny changed the stance of the German political elite. The insistence on purely German interests has weakened, and today, Germany is more open to forming a common European stance as far as interaction and communication with Russia are concerned.

Roman Nitsovych

DiXi Group Research Director

What the new law on “green” energy “fell short” of

It seemed that the long-running “serial” of political discussions between the government and investors in renewable energy has ended. But in fact, the new law may not solve the problem after all, as there are at least five reasons for that.

Roman Nitsovych, Research Director, DiXi Group

Darina Kulaga, expert consultant

Only an increase in the transmission tariff will not solve the crisis in the electricity market

The tariff increase will not affect electricity prices for household and small non-household consumers, but will be felt for industry and other consumer groups. The main purpose of this step is to ensure stable revenues for timely payments to producers of electricity from renewable sources.

Bohdan Serebrennikov

Manager on consultancy and analytical services

The current electricity market is not yet the model we are striving for

The current market, with many regulatory price caps, unbalanced RES support policy, non-market prices for the population and an existing mechanism of assignment of special obligations (ASO), is not like the model being built in the EU.

DiXi Group Analytical Centre

On the way to the gas market. What changes the regulator’s decision and what needs to be done?

National Energy and Utilities Regulatory Commission (NEURC) adopted the decision simplifying the procedure for changing the gas supplier for household consumers

Bohdan Serebrennikov

Manager on consultancy and analytical services

04 ЧЕРВНЯ 2020

Ukrainian model of Public Service Obligations significantly distorts the electricity market

Since electricity prices are the same for the entire population throughout Ukraine, the current PSO model protects not only economically vulnerable but also wealthy consumers, which seems economically unjustified. Moreover, prices for households have not changed since March 1, 2017.

Bohdan Serebrennikov

Manager on consultancy and analytical services

01 ЧЕРВНЯ 2020

Lack of prerequisites for unbundling of electricity bills

However, current tariff, even its upper rate, does not reflect real costs incurred for the production, procurement and supply of electricity to households, since the country uses hidden cross-subsidization of the population through the mechanism of Public Service Obligations (PSO).

Roman Nitsovych, DiXi Group Research Director

Anastasiia Synytsia, Analytical Department Trainee

26 ТРАВНЯ 2020

European Green Deal and Ukrainian energy: quo vadis?

During the operation of the united Ministry of Energy, it was not possible to synchronize the climate and energy directions. For more than 6 months the government and key participants of the renewable energy market have been unable to agree on a solution to the industry’s problems.

Roman Nitsovych

DiXi Group Research Director

18 MAY 2020

Decision concerning Nord Stream 2: the final victory still needs to be fought for

The decision of German regulatory authority, BNetzA, concerning the legal framework in which Nord Stream 2 can operate represents an interim victory of Ukraine.

Andrii Ursta

trainee at DiXi Group Analytics Section

15 APRIL 2020

How steady is the trend of declining fuel prices?

Pricing in Ukraine’s retail market for petroleum products draws close attention from both consumers and public authorities. Telling facts in this sense are meetings of the President with representatives of filling station chains or the AMCU’s in-depth analysis of actions of petroleum products market participants, which the agency started in January of this year.

Roman Nitsovych

Research Director

13 КВІТНЯ 2020

Oil producers unite before the danger of “execution”

If implemented, the preliminary agreement of OPEC+ countries will allow to somewhat stabilize oil prices in the nearest few months, but it remains to be seen whether it will restore the balance of demand and supply in the market.

Olha Polunina

Manager for Sustainable Development

10 APRIL 2020

EIA: a problem or an indispensable element of sustainable development?

Back in 2016, the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine passed the Environmental Impact Assessment Law. From the very beginning, the implementation of this legislative act has bumped into obstacles: the law was vetoed after an appeal by the Association of Pig Breeders of Ukraine, whose representatives believed that it would bring their industry to a standstill.

Bohdan Serebrennikov

Manager on consultancy and analytical services

09 APRIL 2020

Coronavirus and systemic imbalances of the electricity market

Today’s crisis in the electricity market is not just a concurrence of circumstances caused by a seasonal factor and by quarantine restrictions. These factors vividly illustrated, and stretched almost to its limits, the vulnerability of the system in which Ukraine’s electricity market functions in its present form.

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