DiXi Group - Weekly analytical report February 22

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Weekly analytical report February 22 – 26, 2021

3 March 2021

Weekly analytical report February 22 – 26, 2021 Report announcement: The government and state-owned companies continue to work on verifying and collecting debts from certain participants of the gas market……

Weekly analytical report February 15 – 19, 2021

24 February 2021

Weekly analytical report February 15 – 19, 2021 Report announcement: The government and the parliament are looking for the ways of tightening control over expenses of gas DSOs… Amid the…

Weekly analytical report February 8 – 12, 2021

18 February 2021

Weekly analytical report February 8 – 12, 2021 In this issue: The government and the parliament are looking for the ways of tightening control over expenses of gas DSOs… Amid…

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Weekly analytical report February 1 – 5, 2021

10 February 2021

Weekly analytical report February 1 – 5, 2021 In this issue: The deficit of capacity in Ukraine’s power system, particularly of nuclear and coal generation, has occurred due to several…

Weekly analytical report December 26 – 29, 2021

3 February 2021

Weekly analytical report December 26 – 29, 2021 In this issue: The introduction of gas price caps did not ease social tensions yet, but it can produce negative economic consequences,…

Weekly analytical report December 19 – 25, 2021

26 January 2021

Weekly analytical report December 19 – 25, 2021 In this issue: While MV Fortuna resumed works on the construction of Nord Stream 2 pipeline in Danish waters, the European Parliament…

Weekly analytical report December 11 – 19, 2021

22 January 2021

Weekly analytical report December 11 – 19, 2021 In this issue: The decision to regulate again the gas prices for households, which was announced by the government, is a step…

Weekly analytical report December 14 – 20, 2020

24 December 2020

Weekly analytical report December 14 – 20, 2020 In this issue: Naftogaz received the government’s permission to buy out the company authorized to develop the Yuzivska field, which indicates…

Weekly analytical report December 7 – 13, 2020

16 December 2020

In this issue: Despite the continuing difficulties with settling payments to “green” electricity producers, the energy regulator unexpectedly decreased Ukrenergo transmission tariff for 2021… The Nord Stream 2 project will…

Weekly analytical report December 1 – 7, 2020

9 December 2020

In this issue: Among the most anticipated reforms in 2021 is the introduction of “green” auctions; recently, the Ministry of Energy presented its vision of the annual RES support quotas…

Comments

Bohdan Serebrennikov

Manager on consultancy and analytical services

Energy Transparency Index 2020: International Dimension

In 2020, we present the results of the first such research for the three Eastern Partnership countries – Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia.

Bohdan Serebrennikov

Manager on consultancy and analytical services

International Energy Transparency Index 2020: sector openness test – positive or negative?

Transparency is one of the key prerequisites for effective economic and market development, open competition, fair pricing, and formulation of balanced policy and regulation. Better information openness is also a safeguard against corruption.

Anastasia Synytsia

DiXi Group Junior Analyst

Nord Stream 2 and sanctions: what to expect?

Political consensus is a shaky phenomenon, but beginning from December of last year the matter of sanctions against the Russian gas pipeline project became an exemplary implementation of bipartisan and bicameral consensus in the United States. So, what does the sanction “package” consist of now and what does it mean for Nord Stream 2?

Daryna Kulaha

DiXi Group Junior Analyst

The Decarbonization Fund may become a powerful instrument, but all depends on the revenue

Overall, the Energy Ministry’s proposal is essentially a step in the right direction, because it actually has the purpose of spending the greenhouse gas emission charge specifically on reducing emissions of those very greenhouse gases, thus performing a stimulating role in the transition to the “green” economy.

Olha Polunina, Rimma Kushtym

DiXi Group Manager for Sustainable Development, DiXi Group consultant

Would the parliament block reform of industrial pollution control?

The government draft law states that the BATM conclusions approval procedure is set by the Cabinet of Ministers. The alternative draft law proposes to define the BATM conclusions approval procedure in a separate law of Ukraine...

Roman Nitsovych, Serhii Yevtushok

DiXi Group Research Director, DiXi Group External Analyst

Reform of the Coal Industry is Once Again on the Path of Subsidizing

There is a clear tendency to reduce the volume of production, increase the cost of extracted coal, which in turn leads to unprofitable state-owned mines, which accumulate debts for years...

Daryna Kulaha

Junior analyst DiXi Group

The government’s intentions to postpone EU environmental requirements are unlikely to receive the foreign partners’ support

The Ministry of Energy has recently resumed work on the implementation of the National Emissions Reduction Plan for Large Combustion Plants (the NERP), but soon proposed to postpone its implementation.

Olha Polunina

Sustainable Development Manager

Approved reporting forms are a step towards greater transparency in production

The government has finally approved reporting forms for extractive companies developed, inter alia, with the participation of DiXi Group experts.

Daryna Kulaha

Junior analyst DiXi Group

No effective solutions on debts to “green” generation have been proposed yet

The government has actually held the Regulator and the transmission system operator fully responsible for resolving the situation

Olena Pavlenko

DiXi Group President

Halting Nord Stream 2 must become a part of the EU’s “single voice”

The tragic poisoning of Russian opposition activist Alexei Navalny changed the stance of the German political elite. The insistence on purely German interests has weakened, and today, Germany is more open to forming a common European stance as far as interaction and communication with Russia are concerned.

Roman Nitsovych

DiXi Group Research Director

What the new law on “green” energy “fell short” of

It seemed that the long-running “serial” of political discussions between the government and investors in renewable energy has ended. But in fact, the new law may not solve the problem after all, as there are at least five reasons for that.

Roman Nitsovych, Research Director, DiXi Group

Darina Kulaga, expert consultant

Only an increase in the transmission tariff will not solve the crisis in the electricity market

The tariff increase will not affect electricity prices for household and small non-household consumers, but will be felt for industry and other consumer groups. The main purpose of this step is to ensure stable revenues for timely payments to producers of electricity from renewable sources.

Bohdan Serebrennikov

Manager on consultancy and analytical services

The current electricity market is not yet the model we are striving for

The current market, with many regulatory price caps, unbalanced RES support policy, non-market prices for the population and an existing mechanism of assignment of special obligations (ASO), is not like the model being built in the EU.

DiXi Group Analytical Centre

On the way to the gas market. What changes the regulator’s decision and what needs to be done?

National Energy and Utilities Regulatory Commission (NEURC) adopted the decision simplifying the procedure for changing the gas supplier for household consumers

Bohdan Serebrennikov

Manager on consultancy and analytical services

04 ЧЕРВНЯ 2020

Ukrainian model of Public Service Obligations significantly distorts the electricity market

Since electricity prices are the same for the entire population throughout Ukraine, the current PSO model protects not only economically vulnerable but also wealthy consumers, which seems economically unjustified. Moreover, prices for households have not changed since March 1, 2017.

Bohdan Serebrennikov

Manager on consultancy and analytical services

01 ЧЕРВНЯ 2020

Lack of prerequisites for unbundling of electricity bills

However, current tariff, even its upper rate, does not reflect real costs incurred for the production, procurement and supply of electricity to households, since the country uses hidden cross-subsidization of the population through the mechanism of Public Service Obligations (PSO).

Roman Nitsovych, DiXi Group Research Director

Anastasiia Synytsia, Analytical Department Trainee

26 ТРАВНЯ 2020

European Green Deal and Ukrainian energy: quo vadis?

During the operation of the united Ministry of Energy, it was not possible to synchronize the climate and energy directions. For more than 6 months the government and key participants of the renewable energy market have been unable to agree on a solution to the industry’s problems.

Roman Nitsovych

DiXi Group Research Director

18 MAY 2020

Decision concerning Nord Stream 2: the final victory still needs to be fought for

The decision of German regulatory authority, BNetzA, concerning the legal framework in which Nord Stream 2 can operate represents an interim victory of Ukraine.

Andrii Ursta

trainee at DiXi Group Analytics Section

15 APRIL 2020

How steady is the trend of declining fuel prices?

Pricing in Ukraine’s retail market for petroleum products draws close attention from both consumers and public authorities. Telling facts in this sense are meetings of the President with representatives of filling station chains or the AMCU’s in-depth analysis of actions of petroleum products market participants, which the agency started in January of this year.

Roman Nitsovych

Research Director

13 КВІТНЯ 2020

Oil producers unite before the danger of “execution”

If implemented, the preliminary agreement of OPEC+ countries will allow to somewhat stabilize oil prices in the nearest few months, but it remains to be seen whether it will restore the balance of demand and supply in the market.

Olha Polunina

Manager for Sustainable Development

10 APRIL 2020

EIA: a problem or an indispensable element of sustainable development?

Back in 2016, the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine passed the Environmental Impact Assessment Law. From the very beginning, the implementation of this legislative act has bumped into obstacles: the law was vetoed after an appeal by the Association of Pig Breeders of Ukraine, whose representatives believed that it would bring their industry to a standstill.

Bohdan Serebrennikov

Manager on consultancy and analytical services

09 APRIL 2020

Coronavirus and systemic imbalances of the electricity market

Today’s crisis in the electricity market is not just a concurrence of circumstances caused by a seasonal factor and by quarantine restrictions. These factors vividly illustrated, and stretched almost to its limits, the vulnerability of the system in which Ukraine’s electricity market functions in its present form.

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