January 12 – 18

  • On the night of January 13, Russia launched its fourth massive strike on Ukraine’s energy system since the beginning of the year, using 293 strike UAVs and 25 missiles of various types. Air defense forces destroyed 78% of the targets.
  • Russia is considering attacking the power transmission substations that supply Ukraine’s nuclear power plants, according to the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense.
  • As part of measures to eliminate and mitigate the consequences of recent attacks on the Ukrainian power grid, the Cabinet of Ministers adopted a resolution establishing two task forces to deal with the emergency situation in the power sector, easing curfew restrictions, providing for the possibility of suspending in-person learning in educational institutions until February 1, recommending that the National Energy and Utilities Regulatory Commission review the price caps on the electricity market, and obliging certain state-owned companies to purchase additional volumes of imported electricity.
  • According to the Security Service of Ukraine, since the beginning of this heating season, Russia has carried out 256 air strikes on energy facilities, including 11 hydroelectric power plants and 45 thermal power plants; thermal power plants were attacked 49 times, and substations 151 times.
  • The Verkhovna Rada supported the appointment of Denys Shmyhal as First Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine—Minister of Energy. The newly appointed official sees the restoration of the energy sector after Russian attacks, its protection, and modernization as his main priorities. In his opinion, Ukraine will need to install 2.5-2.7 GW of new generation capacity in 2026.
  • The NEURC decided that from January 17 to March 30 inclusive, the upper price caps for the day-ahead and the intraday markets will be set at 15,000 UAH/MWh at all hours of the day, for the balancing market – at 16,000 UAH/MWh. From March 31, price caps will return to their previous levels.
  • The NEURC adopted its own Strategy until 2030, which should provide greater certainty for the energy and utilities sectors and serve as a basis for the Regulator’s operational planning. The document sets out six strategic goals — from energy system sustainability and green transition to European integration and strengthening the role of consumers — with performance indicators defined, including the deployment of renewable energy sources, integration with EU markets, and strengthening the independence of the regulator.
  • In 2025, Naftogaz imported 5.7 billion cubic meters of gas.
  • Norway, the United Kingdom, and Germany announced additional financial support for Ukraine’s energy sector totaling nearly USD 500 million.
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